{"id":7051,"date":"2026-08-05T18:11:20","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T14:41:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/?p=7051"},"modified":"2026-08-05T18:11:20","modified_gmt":"2026-08-05T14:41:20","slug":"what-do-speculations-about-a-possible-iran-oman-agreement-on-the-strait-of-hormuz-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/what-do-speculations-about-a-possible-iran-oman-agreement-on-the-strait-of-hormuz-say\/","title":{"rendered":"What Do Speculations About a Possible Iran-Oman Agreement on the Strait of Hormuz Say?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Under conditions of neither war nor peace, the Strait of Hormuz remains one of the most important flashpoints in the region and one of the most sensitive variables in the global energy market. Against this backdrop, recent reports indicate progress in talks between Iran and Oman, while speculation has intensified over a new legal regime for the Strait of Hormuz. However, informed Iranian sources emphasize that the issue is by no means the \u201creopening\u201d of the Strait; rather, the discussion concerns the design and management of a temporary mechanism for maritime traffic.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tehran-Iran View 24<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">According to published reports, Tehran and Muscat are approaching a framework for the partial resumption of maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Consequently, there is considerable speculation about the possible model of an Iran-Oman agreement and the role of the United States in such an arrangement.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #993366;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Possible Control-Sharing Model: Iran for Inbound Traffic, Oman for Outbound Traffic<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">One of the scenarios raised in recent reports involves dividing some operational responsibilities between Iran and Oman. Under this model, Iran would assume responsibility for monitoring and controlling inbound maritime traffic, while Oman would manage, coordinate, or clear outbound vessels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">However, this scenario cannot, at this stage, be regarded as the final framework of any agreement. Moreover, from Iran\u2019s strategic perspective, any operational arrangement that would amount to structurally dividing the Strait of Hormuz into two separate areas or two independent northern and southern corridors could raise serious concerns.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Informed Iranian sources have emphasized that such a division is not compatible with Iran\u2019s security interests and long-term interests. The significance of this issue lies in the fact that any temporary mechanism must be designed in a manner that prevents a temporary operational arrangement from evolving into a permanent model for dividing management of the Strait or constraining Iran\u2019s role in the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Accordingly, from Tehran\u2019s perspective, operational cooperation with Oman may be considered, but such cooperation must not entail a change in the legal or security character of the Strait or create a new interpretation of the division of sovereignty.<\/p>\n<h2><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #993366;\">The \u201cMalacca Model\u201d: Regional Cooperation Without Surrendering Sovereignty<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Another option raised in published reports is drawing on cooperation mechanisms used in the Strait of Malacca. Unlike models based on the complete transfer of management of a waterway to a single country, this model is based on cooperation among littoral states in areas such as navigational safety, environmental protection, search and rescue, and the management of certain maritime services.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">According to reports published primarily in American media, Oman is seeking a regional mechanism under which the sovereignty of Iran and Oman would be preserved, while certain maritime services and arrangements would be organized through cooperation among several parties.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">From Iran\u2019s perspective, the decisive point in such a model is to clearly distinguish between \u201ccooperation in providing maritime services\u201d and \u201cmanagement or control of the Strait,\u201d an issue that could potentially become the subject of a new dispute in the future. Cooperation in navigational safety, search and rescue, environmental protection, and other technical services does not necessarily amount to transferring control or sovereignty, provided that the framework for cooperation is designed from the outset in a way that prevents these two concepts from being conflated.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Within this framework, proponents of the model have raised the possibility of charging fees for specific maritime services, such as security, navigation, environmental protection, route clearance, and search and rescue, instead of imposing \u201cmandatory transit tolls.\u201d This distinction is significant from both legal and political perspectives, because charging a fee in return for defined services is fundamentally different from establishing a mechanism for collecting a \u201cright of passage\u201d as a sovereign prerogative.<\/p>\n<h2><strong><span style=\"color: #993366; font-size: 14pt;\">Temporary Corridor: An Operational Solution for Controlled Transit<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Another operational scenario involves establishing a temporary two-way corridor for vessel traffic until a more durable agreement can be reached.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">This scenario is not unprecedented from an operational standpoint. Iran has previously activated a system for the controlled passage of vessels that continuously communicates safe routes to ships seeking passage. The rationale for this measure is clear: under crisis conditions, the risk of mines, potential vessel collisions, traffic congestion, and insecurity along conventional routes can expose normal maritime transit to significant risks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">The potential difference between the new proposal and previous arrangements is that, rather than managing individual vessel passages or departures on a case-by-case basis, a more coherent, predictable, and continuous framework for managing two-way maritime traffic could be established.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">In such a case, the temporary mechanism could include vessel registration and identification, the notification of routes and transit times, coordination among maritime traffic control centers, congestion management, warning and emergency-response mechanisms, as well as search-and-rescue arrangements.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">From Iran\u2019s perspective, the advantage of such a model is that operational and security control could be maintained while simultaneously enabling the gradual resumption of maritime trade, without this necessarily being interpreted as a full return to pre-war conditions.<\/p>\n<h2><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #993366;\">The Cost Issue: \u201cTransit Tolls\u201d or Maritime Service Fees?<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">One of the most sensitive issues in the negotiations is the question of costs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">With the changing conditions in the Strait of Hormuz following the imposed war by the United States and Israel against Iran, Tehran has, on the one hand, emphasized its role and responsibility in ensuring maritime security and navigational safety and, on the other, stressed the costs arising from the region\u2019s new security conditions and the provision of specific maritime services.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">These services could include navigational safety, route clearance, environmental protection, search and rescue, and certain services related to maritime security.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Recent reports have also indicated that charges for security and environmental services are being discussed. However, given that negotiations are still ongoing, it is not yet possible to comment definitively on the amount, collection method, scope of services, or legal mechanism involved.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #993366;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Hormuz Cannot Be Separated from the Iran-U.S. File<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">The most important variable in assessing the future of the Strait of Hormuz is the direct link between the Strait\u2019s situation and the broader crisis between Iran and the United States.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">From Tehran\u2019s perspective, it was the United States that, by initiating the imposed war against Iran, created conditions that have affected maritime security and normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Therefore, from Iran\u2019s perspective, the Hormuz issue cannot be reduced merely to a technical matter between two littoral states or to a purely shipping-related issue.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Within this framework, the relationship between the gradual restoration of shipping through Hormuz, the lifting of maritime restrictions against Iran, and the resolution of the issue of frozen assets could constitute part of a broader equation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">For this reason, even if an Iran-Oman agreement is formally a maritime and operational agreement, in practice, U.S. conduct and the extent to which Washington adheres to its commitments could directly affect how Iran implements its arrangements in the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">From the perspective of some analysts in Tehran, a temporary agreement could be defined as a phased and reversible mechanism. In other words, Iran could facilitate the gradual resumption of shipping without retreating from its positions on sovereignty and security in the Strait, while simultaneously verifying the extent of U.S. compliance with its commitments and whether conditions have genuinely changed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">This characteristic would give a potential agreement an important strategic function: reducing risk and managing the crisis without turning a temporary concession into a permanent commitment.<\/p>\n<h2><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #993366;\">Hormuz: A Test of a New Maritime Security Model<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">If Tehran and Muscat can establish a temporary mechanism under which, while preserving Iran\u2019s sovereignty and security role, navigational safety, traffic management, maritime services, environmental protection, and search and rescue are organized, this model could serve as a test for a new form of security-maritime management in the Persian Gulf.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">But for Iran, there is a strategic red line: the temporary mechanism must not become a tool for internationalizing the management of the Strait, creating a permanent division in its control, or limiting Iran\u2019s security role.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">From Tehran\u2019s perspective, at a time when the United States has made no commitment to ending its illegal war against Iran, the central issue in the negotiations is not necessarily the \u201creopening of the Strait of Hormuz\u201d in the sense of a complete return to pre-war conditions. Rather, the core issue is the design of a temporary mechanism for managing, controlling, and monitoring maritime traffic and ensuring the safe passage of vessels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">From this perspective, the distinction between \u201creopening the Strait\u201d and \u201cestablishing a controlled route for vessel passage\u201d is strategically significant. Under the second scenario, Iran can facilitate the gradual resumption of part of maritime trade without abandoning its positions on sovereignty, security, and maritime arrangements in the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n<h2><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #993366;\">Conclusion: A \u201cTemporary Agreement\u201d Rather Than a \u201cFinal Solution\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">The body of available reports indicates that a temporary agreement to restore part of maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz may be taking shape; however, the permanent framework for managing and securing the Strait remains subject to disagreement and negotiation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Under current conditions, the likely scenario can be viewed as a combination of several components:<\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Establishing a temporary and controlled corridor for two-way vessel traffic;<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Maintaining Iran\u2019s central role in monitoring and managing the security of maritime traffic;<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Utilizing Oman\u2019s capacity for coordination and an operational role in the departure of vessels;<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Establishing a mechanism for providing and financing specific maritime, security, and environmental services;<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Preventing temporary arrangements from becoming a permanent division of the Strait or a limitation on Iran\u2019s sovereign and security role;<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">And ultimately, linking the phased implementation of this mechanism to U.S. conduct and the extent of Washington\u2019s compliance with its broader commitments toward Iran.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Accordingly, what is taking shape should not simply be described as the \u201creopening of the Strait of Hormuz.\u201d A more accurate characterization would be an effort to design a temporary, controlled, and reversible mechanism for managing maritime traffic in post-war conditions.<\/p>\n<p>From Iran\u2019s strategic perspective, the importance of this model lies in its potential to pursue three objectives simultaneously: preserving Tehran\u2019s security and sovereign leverage in Hormuz, reducing the economic and energy costs resulting from disruptions to maritime shipping, and enabling the verification of U.S. conduct as the primary source of insecurity in the region before moving toward any more durable arrangements.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Under conditions of neither war nor peace, the Strait of Hormuz remains one of the most important flashpoints in the region and one of the most sensitive variables in the global energy market. Against this backdrop, recent reports indicate progress in talks between Iran and Oman, while speculation has intensified over a new legal regime [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":7052,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[67,68,41,73,36,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis-and-notes","category-analytical-news-report","category-defense-and-security","category-most-viewed-news","category-political","category-the-most-important-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7051","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7051"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7051\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7053,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7051\/revisions\/7053"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7052"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7051"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7051"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7051"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}