{"id":2934,"date":"2025-11-23T20:10:52","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T16:40:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/?p=2934"},"modified":"2025-11-23T20:10:52","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T16:40:52","slug":"israel-or-iran-who-won-the-12-day-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/israel-or-iran-who-won-the-12-day-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel or Iran, Who Won the 12-Day War?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Analyses of the 12-day Iran\u2013Israel war in the summer of 2025 show that, contrary to early Western media narratives of a \u201cdecisive Israeli victory,\u201d an examination of operational goals, field data, and expert assessments indicates a strategic stalemate.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tehran- IranView24<\/strong><\/p>\n

Middle East Monitor, in an analysis published on November 17, writes that neither side achieved its key objectives during the 12-day war, and the outcome remains \u201cended but unresolved.\u201d<\/span>
\nResponding to the narratives of a \u201cdecisive Israeli victory,\u201d the report notes that assessing the outcome based on the scale of physical damage is not accurate; the valid criterion is the degree to which strategic objectives were achieved. Based on this, analysts categorize Israel\u2019s overall objectives as follows:<\/span>
\n\u25aa\ufe0fDelivering a decisive blow to Iran\u2019s nuclear program<\/span>
\n\u25aa\ufe0fCreating lasting degradation in Iran\u2019s missile capabilities and defense systems<\/span>
\n\u25aa\ufe0fCausing structural disruption in Iran\u2019s command network through assassinating senior commanders<\/span>
\n\u25aa\ufe0fTriggering and activating social divisions leading to domestic unrest inside Iran<\/span>
\nAn evaluation of the data shows that none of these objectives have been fully achieved. According to Middle East Monitor, although some nuclear infrastructure was damaged, critical facilities \u2014 including Fordow \u2014 remained largely intact, and Iran continued developing its deep-underground sites. This indicates that Israel only imposed a time delay on Iran\u2019s nuclear program, not a strategic destruction of it.<\/span>
\nIn the missile domain, the report, citing Western analysts, explains that Israel\u2019s initial strikes caused tactical damage at some bases, but these impacts were short-lived. Iran managed to restore operational capacities in a limited time, and its production infrastructure proved more resilient than Israel\u2019s early estimates. Therefore, the goal of creating long-term degradation in Iran\u2019s missile program was not achieved.<\/span>
\nAnother part of the report evaluates Israel\u2019s expectations regarding the effects of assassinating Iran\u2019s senior commanders. Tel Aviv expected these operations to collapse \u2014 or at least severely disrupt \u2014 Iran\u2019s command network. However, succession processes were carried out rapidly and in an organized manner, and the command structure, despite the initial shock, maintained its cohesion and operational effectiveness. Even Tehran\u2019s diplomatic calculations toward returning to negotiations showed that strategic coherence remained intact. In other words, Israel succeeded in causing disruption but fell far short of achieving structural collapse.<\/span>
\nThe analysis also notes that Israel\u2019s assumptions about widespread social unrest in Iran proved incorrect. No significant wave of unrest emerged; previous political grievances were sidelined, and society reacted to foreign attack with a behavior of national solidarity. This was the most unmet category of Israel\u2019s objectives.<\/span>
\nIn its final assessment, Middle East Monitor analysts state that Israel achieved certain tactical gains, but failed to accomplish its strategic goals. The result, therefore, was a 50\u201350 strategic stalemate \u2014 a situation described even in internal Israeli evaluations as \u201cended but unresolved.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Analyses of the 12-day Iran\u2013Israel war in the summer of 2025 show that, contrary to early Western media narratives of a \u201cdecisive Israeli victory,\u201d an examination of operational goals, field data, and expert assessments indicates a strategic stalemate. Tehran- IranView24 Middle East Monitor, in an analysis published on November 17, writes that neither side achieved […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":2935,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[67,69,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2934","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis-and-notes","category-note","category-the-most-important-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2934","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2934"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2934\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2936,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2934\/revisions\/2936"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2935"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2934"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2934"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iranview24.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2934"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}